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17 de julio de 2020

AILIMPO 1st Forecast Spanish Lemon Harvest 2020-2021


AILIMPO estimates that Spain will return to normal harvest levels with 1,250,000 tonnes, an overall increase of 10%.

Unequal behaviour according to varieties: Fino (+14%) and Verna (-2%).

 

Spain will keep its leading position in conventional and organic lemon by betting on sustainable production, biodiversity support and the GLOBALGAP and GRASP certifications, offereing the EU market a local product. 

Murcia, 16 July 2020 

AILIMPO’s first estimate of the lemon harvest for next season 2020/2021, forecasts a total production in Spain of 1,250,000 tonnes, representing an overall increase of 10% compared to the 2019/2020. This first crop estimate will be confirmed depending on the availability of water in summer and autumn rains. 

The estimated global lemon production figure in Spain of 1,250,000 tonnes will allow Spain to continue to be the leading exporter of fresh lemon, and the second largest processor of lemon juice, essential oil and dehydrated peel in the world. 

In the case of the FINO LEMON variety, an increase of 10% is estimated. Ailimpo has considered the effect of the progressive entry into production of new plantations made in recent years and the situation of the size of lemons at the present time, which is considered optimal thanks to the good availability of water, to estimate a production of 845,000 tonnes. 

“This figure for Fino Lemon production will allow Spain to consolidate its leading role in supplying customers and guarantee supply programmes“. 

As far as the VERNA LEMON harvest is concerned, the first forecast points to a harvest of 300,000 tonnes, which would mean a reduction of 2% compared to the last season. 

“The crop for verna lemon, an autochthonous Spanish variety, guarantees that the Spanish lemon supply will cover a large part of summer 2021 with good quality fruit“. 

Outlook 

AILIMPO expects a good and fair balance of prices and distribution of economic value throughout the chain, which will allow the Spanish lemon sector to give a profitable commercial outlet to the harvest, while maintaining commercial competitiveness against the aggressive supply of lemon from competing third countries such as Turkey (which will continue to be subject to official pesticide controls at the European border) or Egypt. 

Furthermore, from the producer’s point of view, the GlobalGAP and GRASP certifications are key elements for the next season, within the interprofessional strategy to differenciate the Spanish Lemon and promoting sustainable production under the triple focus: economic, environmental and social. 

SPANISH LEMON PRODUCTION AND FIRST FORECAST FOR THE 2020/2021 SEASON 

Coming updates: AILIMPO will update its harvest forecast on: 

  • Wednesday, 30 September 2020 
  • Friday, 29 January 2021

Note on methodology: AILIMPO has drawn up this technical report following the working protocol, using information from surveys taken by producers, cooperatives, exporters and processing industries in addition to field information from its control farms. 

AILIMPO is a Spanish inter-professional association based in Murcia, officially recognised by the Spanish Ministry of Agriculture and the European Commission and representing the economic interests of producers, cooperatives, exporters and lemon and grapefruit industries in Spain – a sector in which Spain is the world leader for the export of fresh lemons and 2nd in the ranking for processing countries with an annual turnover of €700 million, generating more than 20,000 direct jobs and a turnover of more than €250 million in related industries.  

The lemon sector contributes to environmental sustainability, with a positive net balance of 304,840 tonnes of CO2 captured per year. 

By law, its functions include: ensuring the proper operation of the food supply chain, drawing up agri-food contracts and developing methods for monitoring and streamlining the use of phytosanitary products to guarantee product quality and the protection of the environment and also encouraging and promoting quality standards and excellence within the sector.